Dear WotC...

Post/Author/DateTimePost
#1

declan_macmanus

Oct 02, 2011 23:08:01
Dear WotC...

Seems that the cat is out of the bag regarding 5E according to this post...

Threads are already popping up on RPGNET and ENWORLD...so you're going to have to address this soon. I'm just curious about what you'll do about it...

Of course you could just cop to it. Afterall, 2014 IS the 40th anniversary of Dungeons & Dragons...so it would make perfect sense to release a new edition then...but that would recquire on your part and as we all know, Greg Leeds is a giggling schoolgirl who loves his secrets. So yeah...transparency is probably out. Shame.

Now let's see...you rehired Monte Cook to entice 3rd edition holdouts back into the fold...but then he went and violated his NDA. Remember when Dwayne McDuffie was fired by DC comics after spilling secret information about a storyline in an interview? Of course, I wonder what the fan reaction would be if you fire Cook and release the game in two years anyway.

You could just deny the whole thing. Say....remember Gencon 2006 when you were asked if you were working on 4th edition and you denied it, despite the fact that the game was two years into it's development cycle, and then announced it at Gencon 2007? Remember the internet backdraft? It's okay though...I'm sure you've got more than enough of the fanbases goodwill left to squander.

Of course, since you are working on 5E you COULD give us a straight answer and keep us informed during the development process. Perhaps we could offer some input and maaaayyyybe throw in some ideas that you hadn't thought of. Naw...again you don't like transparency.

So yeah...you're going to have to address this because people will be asking the questions. Here's your first chance to take the right step with 5e or the wrong step. Go ahead...deny that you've started work on it. Go ahead...I dare you.
#2

Nyarlathotep

Oct 02, 2011 23:12:52
ZOMG, some random person on the internet claimed to have heard second hand information that they are working on 5e! How ever will they respond to this damning evidence?!?!?!?!?


Note:  There almost definitely WILL be a 5e sooner or later and 2014 doesn't seem like an unlikely target date.  But to act as if that post meant...well...anything is just plain silly. 
#3

declan_macmanus

Oct 02, 2011 23:17:48
Margaret Weiss is a random internet person?

Also, hiring a big name designer...searching for a new brand manager...the Legends & lore "design idea" column.

C'mon. I mean, really. C'mon.
#4

mysticbelmont

Oct 02, 2011 23:33:57
www.sectalk.com/boards/images/imported/2...
#5

tehsquirrely

Oct 02, 2011 23:54:14
Margaret Weiss is a random internet person?

Also, hiring a big name designer...searching for a new brand manager...the Legends & lore "design idea" column.

C'mon. I mean, really. C'mon.


Or maybe, just MAYBE they're looking for more things to do with 4e? But that's probably not possible. I mean they just spent probably 5+ years in developing the system, and 4 or so years putting out products, theres no reason to try to hold on to 4e.


#6

18DELTA

Oct 02, 2011 23:55:58
#7

oxybe

Oct 02, 2011 23:59:40
until the sky bonks me on the noggin' i ain't cryin to the heavens or worrying that it might be falling. i'll just be here instead, playing the game and having fun.

toodles!
#8

declan_macmanus

Oct 03, 2011 0:00:55

Or maybe, just MAYBE they're looking for more things to do with 4e? But that's probably not possible. I mean they just spent probably 5+ years in developing the system, and 4 or so years putting out products, theres no reason to try to hold on to 4e.



Except that they aren't.

#9

Silver_Blaze

Oct 03, 2011 0:02:45
If this was, in fact, true, Monte would probably be looking for a new job after barely starting this one.  NDAs being breached and all.
#10

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 0:03:25
But...it HAS to be true!
I mean, it was on the internet!
People wouldn't spread false information on the internet! That would be dishonest.

Oh, and Kennedy was not shot by Oswald. He was actually secretly beamed to an undisclosed location somewhere in the Mojave using the technology harvested from alien brains at Area 51. He has since undergone extensive plastic surgery, returned to society, and now goes by the name Christopher Walken.

Yeti and Bigfoot are also the same creature. When bigfoot (Bigfeet? Bigfoots?) get old, their hair turns white and they move north for safety purposes. After all, it's very easy to spot a pure white seven-feet tall man-ape amidst a forest setting.
#11

oxybe

Oct 03, 2011 0:06:00
i though they just got a manscaping, put on some flannel, grabbed an axe and took up jobs as temporary lumberjack statues (you know, for when the real statues get tired and need a vacation) for pancake houses?
#12

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 0:07:55
i though they just got a manscaping, put on some flannel, grabbed an axe and took up jobs as temporary lumberjack statues (you know, for when the real statues get tired and need a vacation) for pancake houses?



Since I just read what you typed on the internet, it must be true.
My former theory has now been changed, and I thank you.
#13

Mand12

Oct 03, 2011 0:09:21
2014 is three years away...

I'd actually be surprised if they didn't have another edition being talked about that far out.  As much as I'd love it, PHB7 just isn't in the business model.
#14

GMforPowergamers

Oct 03, 2011 0:18:11
Margaret Weiss is a random internet person?




I am very good friends with a few people...a few years ago a good friend (chris) droped off the face of the planet with very little warning (In my case none, but he had told my roommate he had to go for a while). About 5 weeks after he left and none of us knew where he was, another friend told us he was in the witness relocation program. He had run into him in New york and he told him... 2 1/2 weeks later when chris came back we all asked about it... and he could not stop laughing. His sister got pregnate, just told him "I need you" and so he told the 1 or 2 of us he saw "I have to go away for a while, he had no details till he got to NY and found a very 7 1/2 month pregnant sister. He stayed with her until the baby was born, and then helped her move back here. When he ran into my other friend he was in NY on his way to get diapers... he had off hand made a joke about the witness relocation, that was taken seriese...


when you hear from a friend of a friend that somehting is going on, yes you are just some person.


she did not say Monty told her, she said a friend of monty and her told her.  Sorry a person in the buisness speculating and rumor mongering is no more viable then anyone else.  

Or maybe, just MAYBE they're looking for more things to do with 4e? But that's probably not possible. I mean they just spent probably 5+ years in developing the system, and 4 or so years putting out products, theres no reason to try to hold on to 4e.



Except that they aren't.




  prove it.

#15

tehsquirrely

Oct 03, 2011 0:18:29
2014 is three years away...

I'd actually be surprised if they didn't have another edition being talked about that far out.  As much as I'd love it, PHB7 just isn't in the business model.


Given that the average life span of a D&D edition is about 9.25 years 2014 is a reasonable projection for an announcement for 5e. Maybe a little on the quick side, I think 2015 or '16 is more likely.

However even if, and this is just for the sake of argument, WotC WAS working on 5e now they wouldn't say anything. That would kill their sales because everyone would say "why buy the books, 5e is coming out eventually anyway." And while it's true 5e will come out eventually giving it a date is just marketing suicide. Even when they announced 4e back at gencon '07 (or was it 6? I don't remember) their production of 3.5 books plummeted and their sales took a similar nose-dive. I know I stopped buying books, knowing 4e was immenant (within a year).

WotC has the right to keep things like this close to their chest. Do you think GW announces that they are working on a new edition of warhammer even a year before it's release? Hell no, they wait til it's like 3 months away. And that is a bad idea, a year is a good amount of time, GWs popularity has been waning as of late due to just that practice.

Even if WotC was working on 5e they would probably just beginning the process of blue-skying. No, I don't think 5e will be out, or even announced, for another four, maybe five years, all depending on how much more they feel they can do with 4e.
#16

oxybe

Oct 03, 2011 0:23:26
i though they just got a manscaping, put on some flannel, grabbed an axe and took up jobs as temporary lumberjack statues (you know, for when the real statues get tired and need a vacation) for pancake houses?



Since I just read what you typed on the internet, it must be true.
My former theory has now been changed, and I thank you.


since someone on the internet confirmed what i said by saying what i said was true, then it must be true!

cause, you know, i read it on the 'net.
#17

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 0:37:58
Given that the average life span of a D&D edition is about 9.25 years 2014 is a reasonable projection for an announcement for 5e. Maybe a little on the quick side, I think 2015 or '16 is more likely.

No, I don't think 5e will be out, or even announced, for another four, maybe five years, all depending on how much more they feel they can do with 4e.



OD&D: Released in 1974. Lasted 3 years.
AD&D 1E: Released in 1977. Lasted 12 years.
BECMI: Released in 1977. Lasted 15 years, counting Wrath of the Immortals.
AD&D 2E: Released in 1989. Lasted 8 years before WotC buyout of TSR.
--------------------------------------------------------
WoTC BUYOUT
--------------------------------------------------------
AD&D 2E (WotC): 1997 to 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3E: Released in 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3.5: Released in 2003. Lasted 5 years.
D&D 4E: Released in 2008.

The average lifespan of a TSR-owned edition of D&D was 9.5 years.
The average lifespan of a WotC-owned edition of D&D is 3.6 years, not counting 4E's current run.

WotC's track record of D&D editions is fairly questionable. If the history of the company stays constant, the next edition would fall somewhere around early 2012. Since this is not likely (we would already know about it this close to the end of the year), then my prediction is 2013, or early 2014.
#18

Plaguescarred1

Oct 03, 2011 0:41:39
It may very well be true. Eventually they will start working on 5E and release it.

And if its true, well good then, it means they may put enought time into Research and Developpement, as well as Playtesting. 4E took a fair ammount of time to get togheter afterall (May 2005-2008?)


I know, we play Orcus II today for those that know about it Wink 
#19

GMforPowergamers

Oct 03, 2011 0:48:07
Given that the average life span of a D&D edition is about 9.25 years 2014 is a reasonable projection for an announcement for 5e. Maybe a little on the quick side, I think 2015 or '16 is more likely.

No, I don't think 5e will be out, or even announced, for another four, maybe five years, all depending on how much more they feel they can do with 4e.



OD&D: Released in 1974. Lasted 3 years.
AD&D 1E: Released in 1977. Lasted 12 years.
BECMI: Released in 1977. Lasted 15 years, counting Wrath of the Immortals.
AD&D 2E: Released in 1989. Lasted 8 years before WotC buyout of TSR.
--------------------------------------------------------
WoTC BUYOUT
--------------------------------------------------------
AD&D 2E (WotC): 1997 to 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3E: Released in 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3.5: Released in 2003. Lasted 5 years.
D&D 4E: Released in 2008.

The average lifespan of a TSR-owned edition of D&D was 9.5 years.
The average lifespan of a WotC-owned edition of D&D is 3.6 years, not counting 4E's current run.

WotC's track record of D&D editions is fairly questionable. If the history of the company stays constant, the next edition would fall somewhere around early 2012. Since this is not likely (we would already know about it this close to the end of the year), then my prediction is 2013, or early 2014.





from my point of view, I see this very diffrently...


OD&D: Released in 1974. Lasted 3 years.
AD&D 1E: Released in 1977. Lasted 12 years.
AD&D 2E: Released in 1989. Lasted 11 years
D&D 3E: Released in 2000. Lasted 8 years.



so 4 edtions (and if I remember we could go to 13 or 14 if we count everything) it is   34 years divided by 4 is just shy of 10 years (8.5)... witch would set it at 2016 for the new edtion,
 now as my sig says: 2017 would be my choice if I had any say.    
     
#20

rothe

Oct 03, 2011 0:57:22
Given that the average life span of a D&D edition is about 9.25 years 2014 is a reasonable projection for an announcement for 5e. Maybe a little on the quick side, I think 2015 or '16 is more likely.

No, I don't think 5e will be out, or even announced, for another four, maybe five years, all depending on how much more they feel they can do with 4e.



OD&D: Released in 1974. Lasted 3 years.
AD&D 1E: Released in 1977. Lasted 12 years.
BECMI: Released in 1977. Lasted 15 years, counting Wrath of the Immortals.
AD&D 2E: Released in 1989. Lasted 8 years before WotC buyout of TSR.
--------------------------------------------------------
WoTC BUYOUT
--------------------------------------------------------
AD&D 2E (WotC): 1997 to 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3E: Released in 2000. Lasted 3 years.
D&D 3.5: Released in 2003. Lasted 5 years.
D&D 4E: Released in 2008.

The average lifespan of a TSR-owned edition of D&D was 9.5 years.
The average lifespan of a WotC-owned edition of D&D is 3.6 years, not counting 4E's current run.

WotC's track record of D&D editions is fairly questionable. If the history of the company stays constant, the next edition would fall somewhere around early 2012. Since this is not likely (we would already know about it this close to the end of the year), then my prediction is 2013, or early 2014.

I'd say that making overall predictions based on history of d&d as a whole is about as reliable as making predictions about the stock marked based on its whole history.

Still, I'd say Hocus is more correct with the prediction that new editions are shorter in lifespan.

I would not be surprised if 5e came out at end of 2012 even. What more can you really do for 4e unless you go for DP2, PrP2 etc.? Essentials mixed stuff up a bit, but sales figures are probably dropping all the time.

#21

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 0:58:59

from my point of view, I see this very diffrently...


OD&D: Released in 1974. Lasted 3 years.
AD&D 1E: Released in 1977. Lasted 12 years.
AD&D 2E: Released in 1989. Lasted 11 years
D&D 3E: Released in 2000. Lasted 8 years.



so 4 edtions (and if I remember we could go to 13 or 14 if we count everything) it is   34 years divided by 4 is just shy of 10 years (8.5)... witch would set it at 2016 for the new edtion,
 now as my sig says: 2017 would be my choice if I had any say.    
     



You can see it however you wish, but facts are facts.
The TSR-years of D&D were dramatically different than the WotC-years.
No single edition of D&D has lasted longer than 5 years under the control of WotC.
And yes, I count 3E and 3.5 as different editions due to compatibility issues, just as I count 1E and 2E as different editions, despite the many similarities.
#22

GMforPowergamers

Oct 03, 2011 1:56:32

You can see it however you wish, but facts are facts.


Yes, but our ways of interpreting the facts are diffrent.


  


The TSR-years of D&D were dramatically different than the WotC-years.


Yea, from my point of view the years got better.

  

No single edition of D&D has lasted longer than 5 years under the control of WotC.
And yes, I count 3E and 3.5 as different editions due to compatibility issues, just as I count 1E and 2E as different editions, despite the many similarities.  



I on the other hand count 3e and 3.5 as one edtion that ran ok togather.

I do know people who called 'COmbat and tactics', and later 'Skills and Powers'  3rd edtion... they call it that in the 90's.  

The guy that got me into D&D back in 2e told me stories of his Uncle who taught him to play, but would never touch 2e, becuse it was no longer D&D in his mind... the funny part is in a attempt to play again (after like 20 something years)  His uncle joined a 4e game, and now loves it. The same person who saw the jump from 1e to 2e as to radicale saw no problem with 4e at all.


I also know people who claim that pathfinder and trailblazer are perfectly compadable with 3.5... even when I ask if I can Multi class a Warblade and a Warlock, and no one has yet to find me rules on it...


what is and is not the same is all in our minds, what you see is your truth, what I see is mine, somewhere inbetween we may agree, or we just have to let it go.      
#23

jeff-heikkinen

Oct 03, 2011 6:14:56
Weiss is just another person on the internet. There's as much room for her to be mistaken, misinterpreting, communicating badly, or intentionally yanking chains as there is for anyone; her admittedly impressive credentials don't grant immunity from any of these things.

Even if Weiss did have such information from reliable sources, it would be uncharacteristically irresponsible of her to spread it in this way (not to mention, uncharacteristically poor writing to do so in those particular words). I'd believe that she was joking or her account was hacked or something long before I'd take that post entirely at face value.
#24

18DELTA

Oct 03, 2011 6:23:08
Or he is working on 5E.




;)
#25

CorrinAvatan

Oct 03, 2011 6:29:23
My bet would be that they're not working on 5e, but more than likely working on a modified ruleset for 4.5.

I mean, they have a lot of physical, tangible things that they would suddenly need to drop if they throw out 5e, like their servers and programmers and virtual table and all that jazz if they go to 5e.

My guess, looking at design articles, is that there are going to be a modifiedoptional rule set for skills, which I may or may not be interested in.  TBH, if 4e had a tweaked 3.5 skill system (with pre-defined numbers of Knowledge skills), I think I'd be pretty happy.

But I don't care who Weiss is.  One post doesn't really mean much.  As said before, it could have been a hack.  However, they do have a responsibility to let us know if that was the case. 
#26

frothsof

Oct 03, 2011 6:37:34
eh doesnt really matter when it comes out im not buying 5e. ill buy the tilesets though
#27

Kelvor_Ravenstar

Oct 03, 2011 7:07:13
If what's in L&L articles right now is the state of 5e design, I won't be happy with it. 

Frankly, I'm hoping that this is a mistake or hoax on Margaret's part - partly because if 5e is really being worked on right now, I don't want to know about it, and partly if the chain of information is correct someone (Monte) should be reprimanded for violating his NDA.

But likely, that's not what's happening. I don't doubt they're thinking about 5th edition right now, but I don't think Monte was brought on board to work on it at this point. To me, this scenario is more likely:

1. Mearls starts spitballing design in Legends and Lore
2. People assume that L&L is the basis for 5th edition (I think its just WotC trying to fill in content for their statement of more directed content and transparency)
3. Monte is brought in on some sort of project he can't pass up that isn't 5e, and takes over L&L since Mearls doesn't have the time for it.
4. Monte signs an NDA on his  new project, and won't tell his friends what he's working on.
5. Mutual friends of Monte and Margaret hear 'dream project', 'can't talk about it', and 'Legends and Lore' and they think 1 + 1 + 1 = 5e!
6. Margaret reports on said speculation as fact. 

Considering her current position in the industry, and her recent history with WotC over the publication of her last Dragonlance book, I don't see how we can trust her insight any more than any other 3rd party publisher who gets information from an 'industry insider who's a friend of a friend'. 
#28

wrecan

Oct 03, 2011 7:43:51
The TSR years were different, beause TSR had a habit of only producing a new edition long after they were on the verge of bankruptcy.

1e went from 1977 to 1986 (9 years).  Then their quality and income suffered while they worked on 2e.  And the first year of AD&D had almost no releases because it was a brand new game.

2e was released in 1989, but was effectively dead by 1997 (8 years).  According to those there at the time, they were hemorrhaging cash, their sales had dropped precipitously and while Zeb Cook begged Lorraine Williams to greelight a new edition, she refused.  They couldn't get publishers to take their established work, much less gamble on a new edition.

3e was released in 2000, had a revision 3 years later and ended effectively in 2007 (7 years).  The 3.5 revision also basically bought them a year in which they could update 3.0 material.

4e was released in 2008.  I speculate a 5th edition in 2015-2016, which means an announcement in 2014-15. 

Just counting the beginning dates and end dats of an edition is a superficial analysis at best.  It ignores what was happening in the company at the time.  TSR was a horribly inept company, which wasted years in development limbo.  Wizards, at least, knows to plan for the fututre while the present game is still viable. 

Wizards started work on 3e almost as soon as they bought D&D in 1997.  Three years to develop.  Monte Cook said he started working on 3.5 shortly after 3.0 was released.  That's a 2.5 year development time.  Same for 4e.  So even if Monte Cook is working on 5e, it won't be released until 2015.  So none of this should really be surprising to anybody.

#29

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 7:46:29

I on the other hand count 3e and 3.5 as one edtion that ran ok togather.



The point is not whether or not you could force them to run together and make it work. I could, technically, force BECMI to mirror 4E, but that doesn't make it "run OK together". 3E and 3.5 were named edition changes, one set overriding the rules of the other. Plain and simple.


I do know people who called 'COmbat and tactics', and later 'Skills and Powers'  3rd edtion... they call it that in the 90's.  



Those people would be incorrect.
When the PHB, DMG, and MM got "revised", and dropped the "2nd Edition" from their title, they quite plainly printed in the front of the books "This is not 3rd Edition!". The Player's Options and DM's Option rules followed this revision. Not 3rd edition. At all.


The guy that got me into D&D back in 2e told me stories of his Uncle who taught him to play, but would never touch 2e, becuse it was no longer D&D in his mind... the funny part is in a attempt to play again (after like 20 something years)  His uncle joined a 4e game, and now loves it. The same person who saw the jump from 1e to 2e as to radicale saw no problem with 4e at all.



The rumor that circulated when 2E first came out is that TSR decided to clean up 1E a little bit, and re-release it as 2nd edition...and NOT mention Gary Gygax in the credits, thus depriving him of any royalties. Whether this was intentional or not is still debated. However...claiming to not like 2E, but continuing to like 1E is strange, to say the least. The only real changes were the THAC0 table (which existed in 1E, but was not as streamlined), optional rules like NWPs, and, of course, all the campaign settings.

I, personally, only played 3E for a week, and never played 3.5 at all. I basically skipped from BECMI to 1E to 2E to 4E, so I can sort of see your friend's uncle's position.
#30

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 7:56:05
... Zeb Cook begged Lorraine Williams...



Hey...you're not supposed to mention her name.
#31

XunValDorl_of_HouseKilsek

Oct 03, 2011 8:03:18
Bottom line here is it can't be proven nor can it be disproven. But since it possibly came from Margaret Weiss I wouldn't dismiss it so easily.
#32

Hocus-Smokus

Oct 03, 2011 8:10:05
In the end...what difference does it make?
If they release 5E in 3 weeks, 3 months, or 3 years, does it really matter?
Are you happy with 4E? Would you continue to play it, or would you jump ship immediately for whatever is shiny and new? I still happily DM 1E and 2E, and they've been dead for many years now. When 5E is released (whenever that is), I will weigh it against what I am looking for in a D&D product, and decide, based on that, whether or not I want to run with it or leave it for someone else. Right now there is enough material for 4E to be able to play it for many years very happily. Yes, more options are always nice, but seriously...if the quality of the products drops off just to satiate those who want "more, more, more", then I'd rather them just go ahead and release a new edition.
#33

Mirtek

Oct 03, 2011 8:37:39
eh doesnt really matter when it comes out im not buying 5e. ill buy the tilesets though

Want to fight on the other side of the edition war?`;)

#34

kharmin

Oct 03, 2011 8:41:13
In the end...what difference does it make?
If they release 5E in 3 weeks, 3 months, or 3 years, does it really matter?
Are you happy with 4E? Would you continue to play it, or would you jump ship immediately for whatever is shiny and new? I still happily DM 1E and 2E, and they've been dead for many years now. When 5E is released (whenever that is), I will weigh it against what I am looking for in a D&D product, and decide, based on that, whether or not I want to run with it or leave it for someone else. Right now there is enough material for 4E to be able to play it for many years very happily. Yes, more options are always nice, but seriously...if the quality of the products drops off just to satiate those who want "more, more, more", then I'd rather them just go ahead and release a new edition.


I think the point is that WotC won't want to announce 5e just yet as any material fo 4e that is already in production would suffer sales.  That's the bottom line and why this makes a difference, at least in my opinion.

/me shrugs @'s
#35

frothsof

Oct 03, 2011 8:49:54
eh doesnt really matter when it comes out im not buying 5e. ill buy the tilesets though

Want to fight on the other side of the edition war?`;)




lol its simple economics. ive spent hundreds on 4e so im just going to make do with 1st edition and 
4th edition forever (or wife will likely strangle me)
#36

Agonar

Oct 03, 2011 9:05:58
eh doesnt really matter when it comes out im not buying 5e. ill buy the tilesets though

Want to fight on the other side of the edition war?`;)




lol its simple economics. ive spent hundreds on 4e so im just going to make do with 1st edition and 
4th edition forever (or wife will likely strangle me)



yeah, for me it's less of the "Edition Wars", and more of the "Financial Wars."  I spent tons on 2e back in the day, and then when 3e came out, I bought the core books, and it took a couple years before I started gettng ramped up with the 3e books, then the 3.5 switch, but I had dropped a huge investment into 3e before the end.  When 4e came out, I bought the core books, but I didn't start getting into it (and buying other product) till late last year.

So, if 5e comes out, I might buy the core books, assuming I can afford it, but I'll stick with 4e*



* I am a gaming collector, so I can make no guarantees that if I were to cross paths, sometime in the future, with 5e stuff while having a little cash in my pocket, that I might not be coerced to bringing home a new edition.
#37

frothsof

Oct 03, 2011 9:19:03
as long as they keep the tools up ill be happy. others can play 5th if they want, just leave me the compendium and cb and vt
#38

Dane_McArdy

Oct 03, 2011 9:47:47
If that account is Margaret Weiss, I'm a little surprised. To blow someone else's NDA, if you are still heavily involved in a particular industry, usually results in career death.

But one thing is certain. There will be a 5E at some point. But I bet it won't be called 5E. It will be called something different, so as to try and separate it from all this edition wars. I bet a large part of it will strictly online delivery. Chances are, part of DDi's switch in delivery and format, was to reflect being about to adapt those applications to the new edition, without having to rebuild from scratch.

The only way this brand can continue is to reinvent it's self. Once sales start leveling out, chances are, they start working on the next edition.

To me, articles about theoretical designs and bringing in someone like Monte Cook are more of a red flag then a post on a forum. 

 
#39

shard_of_suzail

Oct 03, 2011 9:55:50
Strategically, releasing 5th edition is the last big marketing move that remains. Essentials has already taken up the "4.5" or "4E" slot and people just aren't going to shell out for anything less than a total overhaul.

I think the mistake was that people viewed the edition wars as being over, when in fact the holdouts dug in and were prepared to wait, happily playing pathfinder or simply not playing D&D at all. Without their support and with the failure of essentials to win them back, change is likely to come sooner rather than later.

As it stands, the customer base was split once and then with essentials split again, to the point where the only option left is to try to make a product that combines everyone once again. Without that, anything released, like a campaign setting or rules extra is going to have a highly diminished market in a world already hit by recession anyway. It's no surprise that the release schedule dried up as D&D is barely hanging on in there.

People should be celebrating the fact that a new edition is likely in the works, rather than fearing it and i would hope that some announcement would openly be made about it. There has been too much concealment and obfuscation already (like essentials not being 4.5) and that left everyone confused and lacking in any form of direction as a playerbase. It's time to openly talk to the player community and to give it some active direction rather than hiding behind a wall of silence and hoping that confusion prevents dissent.
#40

salla

Oct 03, 2011 10:26:49
A one-line, unsubstantiated post on a random internet forum board, and someone actually believed it means anything?

I need to buy stock in a tin-foil company, I sense a lot of hats being made in the near future.
#41

Dragonette

Oct 03, 2011 10:35:54
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.
#42

Seeker95

Oct 03, 2011 10:47:23
I bet...


  • Monte is working on 5e.

  • 5e will come out at the end of 2013 or early 2014.

  • Most of us will buy it.

  • Most of us who buy it will like it.

  • I am in that group of "most of us".


But I also bet...


  • Monte did NOT tell someone he was working on 5e.

  • Margaret heard exactly what she said.

  • Their mutual friend interpreted a statement from Monte, extrapolated from there, and told Margaret.


People can be right for the wrong reasons.
#43

AbdulAlhazred

Oct 03, 2011 10:55:23
Dear WotC...

Seems that the cat is out of the bag regarding 5E according to this post...

Threads are already popping up on RPGNET and ENWORLD...so you're going to have to address this soon. I'm just curious about what you'll do about it...

Of course you could just cop to it. Afterall, 2014 IS the 40th anniversary of Dungeons & Dragons...so it would make perfect sense to release a new edition then...but that would recquire on your part and as we all know, Greg Leeds is a giggling schoolgirl who loves his secrets. So yeah...transparency is probably out. Shame.

Now let's see...you rehired Monte Cook to entice 3rd edition holdouts back into the fold...but then he went and violated his NDA. Remember when Dwayne McDuffie was fired by DC comics after spilling secret information about a storyline in an interview? Of course, I wonder what the fan reaction would be if you fire Cook and release the game in two years anyway.

You could just deny the whole thing. Say....remember Gencon 2006 when you were asked if you were working on 4th edition and you denied it, despite the fact that the game was two years into it's development cycle, and then announced it at Gencon 2007? Remember the internet backdraft? It's okay though...I'm sure you've got more than enough of the fanbases goodwill left to squander.

Of course, since you are working on 5E you COULD give us a straight answer and keep us informed during the development process. Perhaps we could offer some input and maaaayyyybe throw in some ideas that you hadn't thought of. Naw...again you don't like transparency.

So yeah...you're going to have to address this because people will be asking the questions. Here's your first chance to take the right step with 5e or the wrong step. Go ahead...deny that you've started work on it. Go ahead...I dare you.



Yeah, this is the usual hill of wishful misconstruction and "someone told someone that someone else heard that so-and-so is doing such-and-such". Nowhere anywhere in any of this is there even the slightest indication that there is a 5e in the works. Just the same old rumor mill which generally produces the same old thing. Cook hasn't said squat about working on any kind of '5e', Leeds has said nothing at all about a 5e, nor has anything he's said even hinted at such. In fact what he did say is quite the contrary, that D&D sales are up, that he's got a good marketing program going, he's not reduced the staff working on D&D at all, etc. Of course that could mean next to nothing, but we'd have to assume WotC has learned nothing at all about relating to their fan base in that case. It would also mean they've been blowing all kinds of smoke lately, which seems exceedingly contradictory to Mearls' stated goals.

I mean, no offense to "Mistress of Dragons" but even if that's Marget Weis, which I'll take as a given though I have no idea not being a DL fan particularly, but she's not really in the loop.
#44

Dane_McArdy

Oct 03, 2011 10:56:02
I bet...


  • Monte is working on 5e.

  • 5e will come out at the end of 2013 or early 2014.

  • Most of us will buy it.

  • Most of us who buy it will like it.

  • I am in that group of "most of us".


But I also bet...


  • Monte did NOT tell someone he was working on 5e.

  • Margaret heard exactly what she said.

  • Their mutual friend interpreted a statement from Monte, extrapolated from there, and told Margaret.


People can be right for the wrong reasons.



Exactly. Though I can't say for sure right now if I would be one of the Most of Us people. 

I can't see me wanting to spend that much money again on DnD.  
#45

Dane_McArdy

Oct 03, 2011 10:58:09
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."
#46

Silver_Blaze

Oct 03, 2011 11:05:49
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."



Kinda what I was thinking.
#47

WotC_Trevor

Oct 03, 2011 11:14:05
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."



Kinda what I was thinking.



If something is about D&D but not 4E, comparing D&D to another RPG, or about any other RPG, this is generally the forum for it.  It's not attempt to hide them or anything like that - it's just the best place for these kinds of topics. 4E General is for 4E, and this conversation isn't really about 4E.
#48

Silver_Blaze

Oct 03, 2011 11:24:41
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."



Kinda what I was thinking.



If something is about D&D but not 4E, comparing D&D to another RPG, or about any other RPG, this is generally the forum for it.  It's not attempt to hide them or anything like that - it's just the best place for these kinds of topics. 4E General is for 4E, and this conversation isn't really about 4E.


Well, it kinda is, since it would be about the death of 4E.  However, I do agree the conversation is minimally about 4E, so I can see why they would move it.
#49

Dane_McArdy

Oct 03, 2011 13:17:24
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."



Kinda what I was thinking.



If something is about D&D but not 4E, comparing D&D to another RPG, or about any other RPG, this is generally the forum for it.  It's not attempt to hide them or anything like that - it's just the best place for these kinds of topics. 4E General is for 4E, and this conversation isn't really about 4E.


Well, it kinda is, since it would be about the death of 4E.  However, I do agree the conversation is minimally about 4E, so I can see why they would move it.



Meh, other threads speculating about 5E have stuck around in the General for way longer then this one did. Those didn't have thinks to things like this did, where maybe someone like Margaret Weiss saying they are working on 5E. 

I'm now left thinking, too quick to defend the move. Like did someone have this thread on a watchlist to see what else gets said?
#50

Shemeska_the_Marauder

Oct 03, 2011 15:07:55
Hey folks,

I'm moving this to RPGS General since it's not really on topic for this forum.

Dragonette.



Sounds like, "I'm moving this out of the a popular forum, so that way, the average person doesn't get upset by reading this."



Kinda what I was thinking.



If something is about D&D but not 4E, comparing D&D to another RPG, or about any other RPG, this is generally the forum for it.  It's not attempt to hide them or anything like that - it's just the best place for these kinds of topics. 4E General is for 4E, and this conversation isn't really about 4E.



It comes off as really transparent damage control with as quick as it was moved, compared to how other threads have been handled there in the past. Having said that, I really miss how that forum used to be the D&D General Forum, rather than being specific to a single edition, which only happened after 4e came out.
#51

WotC_Trevor

Oct 03, 2011 15:14:10
Monica moved the thread and then asked me to peek in after people commented on the move of the thread. There wasn't a conpspiracy or a watch list there.

We've moved threads that speculate on 5th edition before, so this isn't anything new. If a conversation is predominatntly about another edition of D&D, speculating on a future edition, comparing D&D to other RPGs, or about different RPGs, this is the forum it ends up in when it's moved.

Of course I I doubt this will change some minds all that much - that's how rumors, predictions, and theory crafting goes Just wanted to shed some light on what actually happened/is actually going on.
#52

Valenor

Oct 12, 2011 12:42:55
Haha, whatever the case, surely WotC will give Margaret Weiss a slap in the wrist for either publishing false or true information!
#53

Steel_Rabbit

Oct 13, 2011 17:33:32
Who cares? D&D5 will come eventually, and it better do something incredible to budge me from 4e. Not to declare my position for future "edition wars" (which are as nauseating to take part in as they sound), but I really like 4e, and if 5e doesn't budge me, then I'll probably just continue playing 4. 

Either way I'm not going to stop buying supplements or decry WotC on every channel available.  
#54

thax

Oct 13, 2011 21:33:49
Throwing in my hat...

I doubt that Cook is working on anything for the next edition... yet. I would hope he would look at this new direction that Essentials is going and slow it down, getting back to actual support of the game instead of... well, whatever Essentials is.
#55

Valenor

Oct 18, 2011 10:25:03
It is way too early for 5e to come out.

However, it is not far fetched to think may be cooking 4.5e up, how long was it for WotC to take 3e to 3.5e?

There are a few bugs in 4e, just look at the "updates" (which notice how cleverly they stopped calling Errata).
So many patches, updates and errata requires a semi newly revised version that allows WotC to say "OK, we ironed out the wrinkles, this will be the standard from now on but it is still based on 4e".
4.5 would mean it is still 4e with some upgrades that will remain steady, and that your 4e material is not entirely deprecated.
Win-win if you ask me
#56

thax

Oct 18, 2011 17:51:51
Nope, sorry. 4.5 was replaced by the Essentials backtracking to previous editions for material instead of actually giving the concepts they have actual support in the current edition. It really started with the PHB3, when Power Points was actually given credeance and replaced an aspect of the AEDU structure. The end result? Relaence on a few powers for the life of the character instead of actually having some better stuff to do in later levels.
#57

excalainen

Oct 18, 2011 20:08:58
It is way too early for 5e to come out.




Of course it is. That's why it probably comes out in 2014 with development having started this year.